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Notes from
“Disaster Planning for the Next 500 Years” 

OBLIGATIONS TO FUTURE GENERATIONS (TONN 2021)

OBLIGATION #1 • Prevent the risk of human extinction from exceeding the ethical threshold over an appropriate time horizon.
OBLIGATION #2 • Prevent the risk of total extinction of all life on earth from exceeding the ethical threshold over an appropriate time horizon. 
OBLIGATION #3 • Bequeath sustainable societies. 
OBLIGATION #4 • Bequeath sustainable systems of production.
OBLIGATION #5 • Continuously work to reduce the risk of death from involuntary environmental risks that are greater than the ethical standard....
OBLIGATION #6 • Preserve the essence of nature.
OBLIGATION #7 • Preserve the essence of the human species.
OBLIGATION #8 • Maintain options for future generations. 
OBLIGATION #9 • Preserve knowledge gained by previous and current generations for the use of future generations. 
OBLIGATION #10 • Actively support the generation of new knowledge needed to support the survival of earth life into the distant future. 
OBLIGATION #11 • Minimize regrets that humanity might have over not finishing its important business.
OBLIGATION #12 • Fully inform current generations about futures and obligations.

INTERESTING READS

EUROPEAN COMMISSION (2023) Strategic Foresight Report 2023

FEMA (2024) Strategic Foresight

TETLOCK & GARDNER (2016) Superforecasting

WEBB (2016) The Signals Are Talking

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